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Rate My Portfolio - r/StockMarket Quarterly Thread January 2025
Wed, 01 Jan 2025 10:01:00Please use this thread to discuss your portfolio, learn of other stock tickers, and help out users by giving constructive criticism. Please share either a screenshot of your portfolio or more preferably a list of stock tickers with % of overall portfolio using a table. Also include the following to make feedback easier: Investing Strategy: Trading, Short-term, Swing, Long-term Investor etc. Investing timeline: 1-7 days (day trading), 1-3 months (short), 12+ months (long-term) submitted by /u/AutoModerator [link] [comments]
Daily General Discussion and Advice Thread - January 22, 2025
Wed, 22 Jan 2025 10:01:08Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here! If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant information, such as the following: * How old are you? What country do you live in? * Are you employed/making income? How much? * What are your objectives with this money? (Buy a house? Retirement savings?) * What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs? * What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?) * What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors? Any other assets?) * Any big debts (include interest rate) or expenses? * And any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer. . Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered investment adviser if you need professional support before making any financial decisions! submitted by /u/AutoModerator [link] [comments]
CEOs Launch War Rooms, Hotlines to Cope With Trump’s Order Blitz
Wed, 22 Jan 2025 14:20:43submitted by /u/tigerscomeatnight [link] [comments]
Bought 24k worth of $AAL shares for tomorrow’s earnings.
Wed, 22 Jan 2025 16:37:21Any inputs on how the stock responds tomorrow?? Will the earnings be positive? Lots of Americans travelled for Christmas holidays. submitted by /u/QuantumLeap2030 [link] [comments]
Netflix stock soars after subscriber growth blows away forecasts, company announces more price hikes
Tue, 21 Jan 2025 21:25:13submitted by /u/yahoofinance [link] [comments]
Trump Considers 10% Tariff on China Starting Feb. 1 Donald Trump announced plans to impose a 10% tariff on China, potentially effective February 1, citing fentanyl exports from China to Mexico and Canada as the reason.
Wed, 22 Jan 2025 05:05:20Trump Considers 10% Tariff on China Starting Feb. 1 Donald Trump announced plans to impose a 10% tariff on China, potentially effective February 1, citing fentanyl exports from China to Mexico and Canada as the reason. submitted by /u/NoFlexZone888 [link] [comments]
Reddit Shares rose +7%
Tue, 21 Jan 2025 20:16:06Reddit shares rose over 7% to a record high Tuesday after Raymond James analysts raised their price target and reiterated their “strong buy” rating. submitted by /u/Glass-Record2446 [link] [comments]
any advice on improvement for my portfolio?
Wed, 22 Jan 2025 16:11:2722M i just sold META recently and added a few stocks to diversify my portfolio. are there any advices i should heed to improve my portfolio in the long run? submitted by /u/PumpkinOrdinary7374 [link] [comments]
Bought 1 NFLX $875 CALL for an average cost of $33.23 per contract.
Tue, 21 Jan 2025 22:46:16Anyone thinks this is gonna hit a new high tomorrow? submitted by /u/QuantumLeap2030 [link] [comments]
Ex-Joby Exec Lt. Gen. (Ret.) Scott Howell Joins Archer Defense – A Vote of No Confidence in Joby’s Military Efforts? 🚀
Wed, 22 Jan 2025 15:09:37Big news in the eVTOL space: Archer Aviation (ACHR) has announced that Lt. Gen. (Ret.) Scott Howell, previously an advisor to Joby Aviation, is joining their Defense Advisory Board to advance Archer's next-gen military program. This move not only boosts Archer’s credibility but might also signal Howell's lack of confidence in Joby’s ability to deliver on military initiatives. Let’s break this down: Why Lt. Gen. Howell’s Switch is Significant: 1️⃣ Ex-Joby Military Advisor: Howell’s decision to leave Joby and align with Archer speaks volumes. Joby has stopped or failed to deliver on military-related work, leaving Howell to pivot toward a company he likely sees as having better potential in the defense space. 2️⃣ Military Expertise: As a former leader of the Joint Special Operations Command (JSOC), Howell brings decades of military experience to Archer. His involvement signals serious intent to position Archer’s eVTOLs for defense applications, including battlefield logistics, search & rescue, and rapid transport. 3️⃣ Credibility Boost for Archer: Howell's endorsement of Archer over Joby strengthens Archer’s narrative as a leader in both commercial and defense markets. It suggests Archer’s tech and strategy may be better suited to meet the stringent demands of military use. What This Could Mean for ACHR Stock: Short-term: Investors may interpret Howell’s move as a direct vote of confidence in Archer’s ability to deliver where Joby couldn’t, likely leading to increased optimism around ACHR’s stock. Long-term: The defense market offers large, multi-year contracts that could add a steady, high-margin revenue stream for Archer. If Howell’s experience and connections can secure key deals, it could significantly bolster the company’s financials. My Optimistic Take: This isn’t just about one man—it’s about what his shift represents. Joby’s apparent failures in military programs may have opened the door for Archer, and Howell’s decision to join them reinforces the idea that Archer is better positioned to succeed. Combined with their commercial partnerships (like United Airlines), Archer seems to be diversifying intelligently, increasing their chances of dominating the eVTOL race. TL;DR: Lt. Gen. (Ret.) Scott Howell, formerly an advisor to Joby Aviation, has joined Archer’s Defense Advisory Board. His move signals confidence in Archer’s military potential and highlights Joby’s failures in the defense space. This could open new revenue streams and cement Archer as a key player in the eVTOL industry. What’s your take on this move? Are we looking at the next big step for ACHR? submitted by /u/Additional_Pea131 [link] [comments]
18M How’s am I doing?
Wed, 22 Jan 2025 18:35:30Hi all, just for context I started investing around September 2024? And I’m been lowkey free-balling and did some light research. But overall I just used my own intuition when it came to buying stocks. I’m just curious on what ya’ll think and any recommendations would be greatly appreciated! submitted by /u/SignificantTip3111 [link] [comments]
Thoughts on Tesla?
Tue, 21 Jan 2025 17:39:24I'm going traveling later this year and am thinking of cashing in my Tesla shares to help fund some of it. Today's dip aside I can sell my shares and still make a bit of profit off them. My question is what are people's general thoughts/opinions on Tesla? No one can read the future I know, but do you think the price could keep rising and is worth holding or is it getting a bit too risky to hold with Elon getting more involved in politics and Trump pushing the oil motive. Elon dropping questionable salutes during his speeches probably doesn't help confidence levels either 😅 submitted by /u/BurkishDelight1995 [link] [comments]
US Long-Term Bonds
Wed, 22 Jan 2025 15:15:37US Long-Term Bonds Have Suffered Majorly Since the pandemic, due to high inflation and subsequent Fed rate hikes, the 30-year Treasury note has seen a 51% decline, the highest in the past 40 years, and we would have to go back to the pre-Volcker shock era to see behavior like this. Which raises the following questions: In an environment where tariffs are imposed, which could accelerate inflation, is there a ceiling on how high long-term bond yields can go? What impact will current rates have on the mortgage/real estate market? For banks that bought long-term bonds before 2022, which are seeing declines similar to those shown in the chart above , when will they be able to exit this trade? How will this affect lending? submitted by /u/itsMklkl [link] [comments]
Option buying - why don’t more people do it
Wed, 22 Jan 2025 17:54:20I just made my first option trade today. It wasn’t much just two contracts in PLTR. I have made more money today than I have in the past three months this traditional trading. Option trading seems to have a bad rep. I get you could lose your investment. However if you are able to control yourself and sell once you see it dip low, why not trade this way? I understand rhe returns could be small since you have to be conservative but I must be missing something. Are there extra fees? A limit of orders? Any implications? submitted by /u/DeadlyRoses_99 [link] [comments]
My 20 Stock Portfolio ($10k)
Tue, 21 Jan 2025 23:08:20I’m 21 not selling for 2-5 years. What isn’t shown is my ROTH IRA account which has about ($2.5k). Roast me or apply some constructive criticism. submitted by /u/NewInvestor777 [link] [comments]
Russian Oil Flows Stall as US Sanctions Start to Buffet Tankers
Tue, 21 Jan 2025 13:40:18submitted by /u/nick313 [link] [comments]
Going with these
Tue, 21 Jan 2025 21:23:56Good luck 🤓 submitted by /u/Pocketz_NC [link] [comments]
These are the stocks on my watchlist (01/22)
Wed, 22 Jan 2025 14:09:57Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary. Watching EVERY semiconductor/AI related stock due to the Project Starship news. ORCL/MSFT are clear winners of this, NVDA by proxy. NFLX - Massive earnings, watching $1000 level when we open. Plans to implement price increases in 2025, and continuing investment in video games. Content spending increasing from $17->$18B and raised margin guidance. https://preview.redd.it/w7u2a9yvyjee1.png?width=1014&format=png&auto=webp&s=7dfbf7e87f7334da5b16dc09e70cb633d1073230 JNJ - $22.52B revenue vs $22.42B expected, EPS of $2.04 vs $2.01, driven mainly by strong sales of cancer treatments, but tempered by its psoriasis treatment. https://preview.redd.it/8sbj1aexyjee1.png?width=1534&format=png&auto=webp&s=c56dfacc970a59183d2f766953e568867df7366d ORCL - MASSIVE move from Trump announcing ORCL as being the primary beneficiary for Project Stargate's AI infrastructure demands. Plans call for $100B initially and then $500B over 4 years. Watching $200 level. https://preview.redd.it/q1kt58oyyjee1.png?width=1525&format=png&auto=webp&s=444a01216e7f36d7cf7645a2961f6376a08d88fb MSFT - Renegotiated contract with OpenAI, was one of the beneficiaries of Project Stargate. (Remember that MSFT owns 49% of OpenAI) https://preview.redd.it/5e4dcozzyjee1.png?width=1528&format=png&auto=webp&s=c22676c8b38c9ca17205928be7b254757b7f93a5 FTAI - Still watching this due to old news and review from the board, original selloff was due to short report by Muddy Waters. Also acknowledges possible delay of the 10-K. Overall not the most interesting stock today, but still worth watching. https://preview.redd.it/8e6yxq71zjee1.png?width=1017&format=png&auto=webp&s=d2e18bddd3274eae368fedd9dd5e14771020b5d8 submitted by /u/WinningWatchlist [link] [comments]
Block, formerly known as Square, changes its ticker to XYZ
Tue, 21 Jan 2025 18:45:17submitted by /u/Cold_Entry3043 [link] [comments]
Calamos to Launch World’s First Downside Protected Bitcoin ETF
Wed, 22 Jan 2025 16:16:45Metro Chicago, Illinois, January 21, 2025– John Koudounis, President and CEO of Calamos, announced the expansion of the Calamos Protected Bitcoin ETF Suite through two new ETFs offering upside growth potential of bitcoin with 90% (CBXJ) and 80% (CBTJ) protection levels over a one year outcome period. He stated, “This enhancement builds upon the announcement of CBOJ, the world's first 100% Protected Bitcoin ETF, and continues our tradition of bringing innovative options-based and risk managed investment solutions to the marketplace.” CBOJ will launch on January 22, 2025, offering upside potential to bitcoin to a cap with 100% downside protection over a one-year outcome period. On February 4, 2025, Calamos will list CBXJ and CBTJ, providing 90% and 80% downside protection levels respectively, with correspondingly higher upside cap rates: CBOJ with 100% downside protection and an estimated cap range of 10%-11.5% CBXJ with 90% downside protection and an estimated cap range of 28%-31% CBTJ with 80% downside protection and an estimated cap range of 50%-55% The full suite of Protected Bitcoin ETFs is set to launch systematically throughout 2025, delivering risk-managed bitcoin exposure through the liquid, transparent and tax-efficient ETF structure with no counterparty credit risk. The ETFs will initially use a combination of Treasuries and options on the CBOE Bitcoin US ETF Index to provide a regulated way to access bitcoin within a risk-controlled framework. The ETFs will reset annually, offering investors a new upside cap with refreshed protection against negative bitcoin returns over the subsequent 12-month period. Shares of these ETFs can be held indefinitely. CBOJ will commence trading on 1/22/25 at a $25 NAV, which will allow investors to obtain 100% protection relative to bitcoin over the outcome period. CBOJ will then strike the final cap rate toward the end of the trading day on 1/22. This innovative approach to buying structured outcome ETFs allows investors to buy-in on day one and obtain the stated protection level (e.g., 100%, 90% or 80%) without being exposed to the overnight volatility of bitcoin, which could otherwise impact the protection level achieved. CBXJ and CBTJ will follow a similar approach. https://www.calamos.com/about/news/press-releases/2025/calamos-to-launch-downside-protected-bitcoin-etf-suite/ submitted by /u/OGPeakyblinders [link] [comments]
Are The “Magnificent 7” Companies Top Contributors to Earnings Growth for the S&P 500 for Q4?
Tue, 21 Jan 2025 23:37:32According to FactSet, only 3 of the Mag 7s are projected to be among the top 10 contributors to earnings growth for the S&P 500 for Q4 2024: NVIDIA, Amazon.com, and Alphabet. The other 7 companies that are top 10 contributors to earnings growth for Q4 are: - Banks (Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and Truist Financial), - Pharmaceuticals (Eli Lilly & Co. and Merck & Co.), and - Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment (Micron Technology). In aggregate, Mag 7 companies are expected to report year-over-year earnings growth of 21.7% for Q4-2024. submitted by /u/PrestigiousCat969 [link] [comments]
Why I Believe Upstart (UPST) Will Soar 40%+ Within the Next 3 Weeks
Wed, 22 Jan 2025 09:05:58Hey StockMarket, I believe UPST COULD soar within the next 3 weeks. See the breakdown: What is UPST? Upstart Holdings (UPST) is an AI-driven lending platform that partners with banks and credit unions to improve loan approvals and pricing. Unlike traditional FICO-based systems, Upstart’s AI analyzes a broader range of factors—like education, employment, and income trends—to provide fairer and more accurate credit assessments. This enables higher loan approval rates, lower default risks, and increased affordability for borrowers, all while benefiting its financial institution partners. 1. Consistent Earnings Beats UPST has consistently delivered four straight EPS beats, outperforming expectations every time. Here’s their earnings history: Q3 2024: EPS of $0.40 (beat estimates by $0.10), revenue of $182M (+15% YoY). Q2 2024: EPS of $0.35 (beat estimates by $0.08), revenue of $171M (+12% YoY). Q1 2024: EPS of $0.29 (beat estimates by $0.07), revenue of $165M (+9% YoY). Q4 2023: EPS of $0.22 (beat estimates by $0.05), revenue of $157M (+8% YoY). Their next earnings report is scheduled for 2/11/2025, and analysts expect EPS of $0.42 and revenue of $190M. Given the historical trend of beating estimates, UPST could surprise to the upside again, boosting investor confidence and driving buying activity. What happened the last time UPST beat earnings? Following its Q3 2024 earnings beat, UPST surged 20% in post-earnings trading as investors reacted to strong revenue growth and improving margins. The momentum continued the next day, with the stock opening nearly 18% higher and gaining another 5% intraday, fueled by analyst upgrades and short covering. Over just two trading sessions, UPST climbed an impressive 43%, highlighting its explosive potential after earnings surprises. Implications for the upcoming earnings report: If UPST beats expectations again, the combination of high short interest, potential analyst upgrades, and macroeconomic tailwinds could set the stage for another major rally. 2. Tailwinds from Rate Cuts Interest rate cuts are a crucial macroeconomic tailwind for UPST. Here’s why: Federal Reserve's Stance: The Fed recently cut rates by 25 basis points and is expected to implement further reductions through 2025 to counter slowing economic growth. Analysts project up to 100 basis points in total cuts, supporting a favorable environment for lending activity. Market Optimism: Market participants are pricing in a 66% chance of additional rate cuts, signaling optimism for lending-focused businesses like UPST. Implications for UPST: Lower borrowing costs = increased loan demand. UPST’s AI lending model thrives in a low-rate environment by approving more borrowers with competitive terms. Their platform can capture refinancing activity as consumers seek to replace high-interest loans. 3. Validated AI Model In a market where many AI models remain untested, UPST’s AI lending platform has demonstrated tangible results: Lower Default Rates: Independent evaluations show UPST’s AI delivers 43% lower default rates compared to traditional FICO underwriting for borrowers with similar risk profiles. Broader Credit Access: Approves 27% more borrowers while maintaining or improving risk standards. Cost Savings: Reduces average APRs by 16%, making loans more affordable for consumers. Resilience: During the COVID-19 pandemic, UPST’s loan delinquency rates rose by only 6%, compared to 10% for the broader industry. Adoption Growth: With over 100 financial institutions using its platform and partnerships growing, UPST has demonstrated trust and scalability in the lending industry. Unlike many unproven AI models, UPST’s technology delivers real-world results, driving borrower satisfaction, lender trust, and shareholder returns. 4. Short Interest is High (25% Float) Short interest in UPST is currently at ~25% of the float, which is high enough to raise the potential for a short squeeze. If UPST delivers an earnings beat, sees a price upgrade from analysts, or experiences any unexpected bullish catalyst, shorts could be forced to cover, leading to accelerated buying pressure. 5. Strong Bank Earnings Signal a Robust Sector Recent earnings reports from major banks highlight the overall strength of the financial sector: JPMorgan Chase: Reported a 50% increase in net income, reaching over $14 billion in Q4 2024. Morgan Stanley: Achieved a 51% revenue increase in its equities trading unit in Q4 2024. While these banks are not direct partners with UPST, their strong performance reflects a healthy banking environment. This indicates robust lending activity and credit demand, which supports UPST’s ability to deliver strong results and exceed EPS expectations. 6. Stock Performance and Market Recovery The current bull market, which began in October 2022, has led to significant gains in major stock indices: S&P 500: Increased approximately 62% over the past two years. Nasdaq 100: Rose about 88% in the same period. Dow Jones Industrial Average: Gained around 46%. In contrast, UPST's stock has experienced a more volatile trajectory. After reaching an all-time high of $401.49 in October 2021, it declined sharply. However, in 2023, UPST's stock rebounded, surging 209%. Despite this recovery, the stock remains significantly below its peak, indicating that it has not fully participated in the broader market's bull run. This discrepancy suggests that UPST's stock may be undervalued relative to its historical performance and the overall market recovery. Risks to Consider Valuation: UPST trades at a premium relative to traditional lending companies. Growth execution is critical to justify its valuation. Macro Uncertainty: While rate cuts are helpful, broader economic weakness could dampen overall loan demand. Execution Risk: They rely heavily on partnerships with banks and credit unions. Slower adoption could impact revenue growth. Sources https://info.upstart.com/portfolio-performance-covid-report submitted by /u/Comfortable-Resort-7 [link] [comments]
NFLX options
Tue, 21 Jan 2025 23:18:59Bought 3 contracts @ 995 C exp 01/24 Looking consideration/suggestions if I should close on market open. submitted by /u/Massive_Report2347 [link] [comments]
Video: Jim Simons Destroys Efficient Market Hypothesis. It never gets too old listening to the original quant
Mon, 20 Jan 2025 21:35:50Talks about Machine Learning, trading anomalies and managing vol through statistics. submitted by /u/MenthorQ [link] [comments]
Energy fuels - UUUU
Tue, 21 Jan 2025 22:51:39Dear All, For those familiar with UUUU, during 2020 under the Trump administration, the company experienced a remarkable 400% increase in value. This growth coincided with significant advancements in uranium and rare mineral production, both of which are critical for manufacturing and operating the new AI-Quantum computer components (for example). Given their strategic importance and UUUU’s strong positioning in this sector, do you also see the potential for further growth, or am I being overly optimistic? Am I missing something? Thank you for your time. submitted by /u/HisoKKa_ [link] [comments]
Best Vanguard to invest into?
Tue, 21 Jan 2025 16:12:28Hi all, I normally invest into quite volatile stocks however I want to branch into S&P 500’s for some of my savings. Bit confused on which of these would be the smartest to invest into. Might be a really dumb question but any advice appreciated! submitted by /u/mbdtfl0ver [link] [comments]
YALE UNIVERSITY: "Yale researchers have identified cannabinoids—CBD, CBG, and CBN—as potential alternatives for pain relief"...
Tue, 21 Jan 2025 20:19:11Yale researchers have identified cannabinoids—CBD, CBG, and CBN—as potential alternatives for pain relief without the side effects and addiction risks of opioids. Their study, published in PNAS on Jan. 21, found that these cannabinoids reduce activity in Nav1.8, a protein central to pain signaling in the peripheral nervous system. CBG showed the strongest effect in blocking Nav1.8, offering promising therapeutic potential for chronic pain conditions like neuropathy and arthritis. Researchers believe cannabinoid-based treatments could provide safer, more effective pain management options and reduce opioid reliance. submitted by /u/C_B_Doyle [link] [comments]